Pack detail

Brazil HGPE Allocation Formula Worked End to End, with Scenario Table by Coalition Configuration

The free electoral broadcast allocation formula for the presidential race, worked through completely, with outcomes computed for every plausible coalition configuration. Under art. 47 of Lei 9.504/1997 as amended by Lei 13.165/2015, ninety percent of time is distributed in proportion to the federal deputies each party or coalition holds from the last Camara election and ten percent is split equally among all registered candidacies. That asymmetry is the whole strategic problem: the marginal value of a small party sits almost entirely in the equal share, the marginal value of a large one almost entirely in the proportional share, and the proportional denominator is not 513 but the seat sum of parties that actually register. Coalitions remain permitted for the majoritarian race although EC 97/2017 ended them for proportional ones, and party federations are counted as a single bloc, so the register is the input that determines the split. The artifact carries the seat base by party and federation, the formula as explicit ordered steps with the rounding and floor rules, and a scenario table giving each configuration its block seconds per broadcast day, daily insert seconds under art. 51, and derived share, plus the equal-division rule that overrides all of it in a second round. Live coalition registration is tracked by a separate weekly pack; this one is the formula and the scenario space. Method: seat counts from published election returns, party-migration and federation adjustments per TSE rulings, and the statutory text are encoded as an executable allocation model, and the scenario table is that model's output over the enumerated coalition set.