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Iranian Succession Mechanics: Assembly of Experts, Article 107-111 Procedure, and the 1989 Precedent

A complete model of how the Islamic Republic replaces a Supreme Leader, built as a one-time artifact rather than a tracker. Four linked tables. The first enumerates the sitting Assembly of Experts seat by seat with province, clerical rank, faction alignment, term expiry, and membership on the internal committee that under Article 111 monitors the Leader's continued fitness. The second walks the constitutional procedure step by step: Article 109's qualification criteria, Article 107's designation mechanism, Article 108's governing statute, and Article 111's interim arrangement under which the President, the head of the Judiciary, and a Guardian Council jurist jointly exercise the Leader's powers until a successor is named, with the vote and quorum mechanics at each stage. The third lists every institution with a formal or de facto role, separating formal authority from practical leverage: Guardian Council vetting of Assembly candidates, the Leader's own office, the IRGC command, the Expediency Discernment Council. The fourth reconstructs the 1989 transition in sequence, including the amendment that removed the marja'iyat requirement and the recorded vote. Any leadership-change forecast is implicitly a claim about this procedure; this is the constraint set that claim has to satisfy. Method: constitutional text with its 1989 amendments, Assembly election returns and official rosters, published biographies, and archival accounts of the June 1989 session are coded into four linked tables on one member and institution key.