Pack detail

Duma 2026 Single-Mandate Districts: Registration, Refusals, and Administrative-Resource Index

The party-list half of a Duma election is decided in the districts, and the districts are shaped before anyone votes. This pack tracks all 225 single-mandate constituencies through the registration cycle: filings lodged, candidates registered, registrations refused with the ground of refusal coded to a fixed taxonomy, withdrawals, and reinstatements won on appeal. Alongside it runs a per-district administrative-resource index built from observable campaign-environment facts rather than commentary — whether the regional executive has publicly endorsed, the ratio of state-broadcaster airtime between the leading candidates, budget and infrastructure announcements made inside the constituency during the campaign period, and the share of the district electorate employed by entities that organize early voting. Signature invalidation is the load-bearing mechanism for non-parliamentary candidates and its rate varies enormously by region, which is precisely what a seat-count forecast needs and what aggregate national coverage never shows. Method: filings and commission decisions are pulled from regional election-commission protocols published district by district, refusal grounds are read out of the decision text and coded rather than inferred from headlines, appeal outcomes are tracked back to the originating district, and the index components are compiled from official regional budget releases and broadcaster program logs.