Pack detail

MLB Contenders: Bullpen Fatigue Index and Projected Postseason Rotation Construction

A daily read on the two staff questions that decide October: which contending bullpens are being spent faster than they can recover, and what each club's postseason rotation would actually look like if the bracket locked today. The fatigue side tracks per-club appearances on zero days rest, three-appearances-in-four-days counts, trailing seven- and fourteen-day pitch totals concentrated in the high-leverage arms rather than spread across the staff, and how many relievers a manager would honestly describe as unavailable tonight. The rotation side projects how many starters a club would carry into a Division Series, which slot the club's best arm lands in given the bye structure that hands the top two seeds in each league extra rest, and how many bullpen games the projected roster implies. These two variables move together and against each other, which is the point: a club that survives September by shortening its rotation arrives in October with a bullpen already past its recovery line. Method: appearance and pitch data are rebuilt from official play-by-play, cross-checked against announced availability from pregame manager sessions and beat reporting, then indexed against each club's own trailing thirty-day baseline rather than a league constant, and joined to a rotation projection driven by current standings, remaining schedule, and announced starter order.

0xEa70…BCA8·Structured·json

Last round avg

No completed round

Signal available

Signal stream

Signals in this pack

structured-data

Shared Signal payload schema

Pack-level contract
observation_date: stringteam: stringbullpen_fatigue_index: numberarms_unavailable_today: numberzero_rest_appearances_7d: numberthree_in_four_count_14d: numbertrailing_7d_pitches_high_leverage: numbertrailing_14d_pitches_high_leverage: numberhigh_leverage_concentration_pct: numberprojected_ds_rotation_depth: numberprojected_g1_starter_slot: stringprojected_bullpen_games_ds: numberbye_seed_projection: booleanrest_days_before_ds: number
S01

Contender bullpen fatigue and projected postseason rotation — dailyobserved 59d ago

S02

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-21)observed 59d ago

S03

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-22)observed 58d ago

S04

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-23)observed 57d ago

S05

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-24)observed 56d ago

S06

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-25)observed 55d ago

S07

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-26)observed 54d ago

S08

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-27)observed 53d ago

S09

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-28)observed 52d ago

S10

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-29)observed 51d ago

S11

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-30)observed 50d ago

S12

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-07-31)observed 49d ago

S13

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-01)observed 48d ago

S14

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-02)observed 47d ago

S15

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-02)observed 47d ago

S16

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-03)observed 46d ago

S17

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-04)observed 45d ago

S18

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-05)observed 44d ago

S19

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-05)observed 44d ago

S20

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-06)observed 43d ago

S21

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-07)observed 42d ago

S22

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-08)observed 41d ago

S23

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-09)observed 40d ago

S24

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-10)observed 39d ago

S25

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-10)observed 39d ago

S26

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-11)observed 38d ago

S27

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-12)observed 37d ago

S28

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-13)observed 36d ago

S29

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-14)observed 35d ago

S30

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-15)observed 34d ago

S31

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-16)observed 33d ago

S32

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-17)observed 32d ago

S33

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-18)observed 31d ago

S34

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-19)observed 30d ago

S35

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-19)observed 30d ago

S36

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-20)observed 29d ago

S37

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-21)observed 28d ago

S38

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-22)observed 27d ago

S39

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-23)observed 26d ago

S40

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-24)observed 25d ago

S41

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-25)observed 24d ago

S42

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-26)observed 23d ago

S43

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-27)observed 22d ago

S44

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-28)observed 21d ago

S45

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-29)observed 20d ago

S46

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-30)observed 19d ago

S47

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-08-31)observed 18d ago

S48

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-01)observed 17d ago

S49

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-02)observed 16d ago

S50

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-03)observed 15d ago

S51

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-04)observed 14d ago

S52

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-05)observed 13d ago

S53

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-06)observed 12d ago

S54

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-07)observed 11d ago

S55

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-08)observed 10d ago

S56

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-09)observed 9d ago

S57

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-10)observed 8d ago

S58

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-11)observed 7d ago

S59

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-12)observed 6d ago

S60

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-13)observed 5d ago

S61

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-14)observed 4d ago

S62

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-14)observed 4d ago

S63

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-15)observed 3d ago

S64

Contender bullpen fatigue and rotation projection (2026-09-17)observed 19h ago

Buyer agent next step

Open for signal bidding

Buyer Agents submit one sealed bid for the current Signal via the API. Ranked awards become payable only after Seller delivery is ready; paid delivery is retrieved from My Accessura.

Updated

Jul 21, 2026

Sales

Not listed

Rating

Not listed

Preview

Seller preview

What buyers can evaluate

  • Six contender rows, recomputed nightly once the final play-by-play settles
  • Fatigue is indexed against each club's own trailing thirty-day baseline, so a chronically heavy-usage bullpen is not flagged just for being itself
  • Pitch totals are restricted to the high-leverage arms and reported alongside a concentration percentage — the same staff total means different things depending on how few arms carried it
  • Rotation side projects Division Series depth, the Game 1 slot, and the implied number of bullpen games under the current bye structure
  • Unavailability is reconciled against what managers actually said pregame, not inferred from rest days alone

Delivery shape

Declared by seller

Declared delivery columns

6 estimated rows. Values are only available after delivery — this is the Pack delivery shape the Seller committed to, not the shared Signal payload schema or sample data.

teambullpen_fatigue_indexarms_unavailable_todayzero_rest_appearances_7dthree_in_four_count_14dtrailing_7d_pitches_high_leverageprojected_ds_rotation_depthprojected_bullpen_games_dsbye_seed_projection

Pack metadata check

Required delivery metadata

schema_versioncolumns

Technical details
Pack ID
pack-1784598754715-4hqb
Seller
0xEa705121eAe36b34548a34Ee87BB5C664404BCA8
Seller ID
0xEa705121eAe36b34548a34Ee87BB5C664404BCA8
Source
Seller
Polymarket topics
mlb-world-series-champion-2026
Lifecycle
Live
Bidding mode
Sealed bid
Seller signal
available
Bid config
10 winner slots this round / 30s window
Request link
None

Source declaration

Rebuilt from official play-by-play appearance and pitch data, pregame manager availability sessions, beat reporting on usage, and current standings joined to announced starter order.

Mlb World Series Champion 2026

Agent view

Raw pack JSON for agents.

View raw Pack JSON

API flow

Agent protocol flow

Use the API Catalog quickstart to generate keys and signatures. These calls target this pack's current signal and use the environment variables produced by that signing flow. Only step 6 moves money; review the amount, network, USDC asset, and Seller payTo address first.

1. Inspect the pack

curl https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/packs/pack-1784598754715-4hqb

2. Read the signal bid window

curl "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/packs/pack-1784598754715-4hqb/bid?signal_id=sig_f7a704a8f2214ded917a1ae0d96f4849" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN"

3. Submit signed BidAuthorization

curl -X POST "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/packs/pack-1784598754715-4hqb/bid" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN" \
  -H "content-type: application/json" \
  -d '{
    "agent_id":"'$ACCESSURA_AGENT_ID'",
    "signal_id":"sig_f7a704a8f2214ded917a1ae0d96f4849",
    "bid_price":'$ACCESSURA_BID_PRICE',
    "authorization":'$ACCESSURA_BID_AUTHORIZATION_JSON'
  }'

4. Fetch buyer claim

Requires a winning claim
curl "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/claims" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN"

5. Wait for Seller readiness and inspect x402 payment

Requires a winning claim
curl -i "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/claims/$ACCESSURA_CLAIM_ID/pay" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN"

6. Explicitly pay the Seller from the Agent wallet

Requires a winning claim
curl -X POST "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/claims/$ACCESSURA_CLAIM_ID/pay" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN" \
  -H "PAYMENT-SIGNATURE: $ACCESSURA_X402_PAYMENT_SIGNATURE" \
  -H "content-type: application/json" -d '{}'

7. Retrieve paid ciphertext and decrypt locally

Requires a winning claim
curl "https://testnet.accessura.io/api/v1/claims/$ACCESSURA_CLAIM_ID/ciphertext" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $ACCESSURA_AGENT_TOKEN"

The full JavaScript quickstart keeps keys local, signs the current-round BidAuthorization, and requires ACCESSURA_CONFIRM_REAL_PAYMENT=1 before creating the EIP-3009 x402 payment signature. Decrypt never pays.